Mi-COVID19 COVID-19 In-Hospital Mortality Risk Score Model

Instructions

Enter the characteristics of a patient hospitalized due to COVID-19 to calculate the estimated risk of in-hospital mortality for the patient.

If you do not have access to a variable, select 'Not available' or delete all numbers from the input box. A hospital COVID-19 mortality rate of .2 is assumed if none is given.

Results

Estimated risk of in-hospital mortality due to COVID-19:

Instructions

Enter the characteristics of a patient hospitalized due to COVID-19 ('Current Patient') to calculate the odds ratio for in-hospital mortality as compared to a a reference patient ('Reference Patient') at the same hospital. You can enter different characteristics for the reference patient to calculate different odds ratios.

If you do not have access to a variable, select 'Not available' or delete all numbers from the input box.

Results

The odds ratio of in-hospital mortality due to COVID-19 for the Current Patient compared to the Reference Patient is:

Current Patient

Reference Patient

Data

The model underlying this risk score estimation was developed and validated on patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 from 39 hospitals in the state of Michigan, who were discharged between March 5, 2020 and August 14, 2020. These data come from the Mi-COVID19 registry .

The ages of the patients used in the model derivation ranged from 19 to 103 years and the creatinine levels ranged from .34 to 15 mg/dL. Using any values outside of this range in prediction should be considered extrapotation.


Authors

Charlotte Z. Mann, BA[1], Chelsea Abshire, MPH[2], Monica Yost, MPH[2], Scott Kaatz, DO, MSc[3], Lakshmi Swaminathan, MD[4], Scott A. Flanders, MD[5,6], Hallie C. Prescott, MD, MSc[7,8], Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch, PhD[1]

[1] Department of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI

[2] Michigan Value Collaborative, Ann Arbor, MI

[3] Division of Hospital Medicine, Henry Ford Hospital, Detroit, MI

[4] Internal Medicine, Division of Hospital Medicine, St. Joseph Mercy Hospital, Ann Arbor, MI

[5] Internal Medicine, Division of Hospital Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI

[6] Michigan Hospital Medicine Safety Consortium, Ann Arbor, MI

[7] Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI

[8] VA Center for Clinical Management Research, Ann Arbor, MI